Thursday, October 14, 2010

States launch foreclosure probe

Scenario: Real Estate Double Dip 

Scenario: What if US house prices experience a double-dip, falling for several quarters before finally stabilizing? Potential Outcome: Some economists continue to predict a coming double-dip for both residential and commercial real estate, citing the huge number of underwater loans, vacancies, and foreclosures yet to come to market. A double dip in housing could drag down the rest of the economy and threaten the economic recovery.
Potential Timeframe: Within 1 Year

The following macro indicators would be most impacted by this scenario.

Current Projected Scenario Impact
US House Prices 148.91 117.14   
-21%
Commercial RE Prices 1.13 0.88   
-22%
US GDP Growth 1.70% -0.96%   
-2.66 pts
Consumer Confidence 48.50 32.56   
-33%
Copper $3.81 $3.17   
-17%

Economic Analysis By HiddenLevers

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